TY - BOOK AU - Mavering King, John Kay TI - Radical uncertainty SN - 9780349143996 PY - 2021/// CY - PB - The Bridge Street Press KW - HB Economic Theory. Demography KW - Behavioural theory (Behaviourism) KW - Economic forecasting KW - United States KW - Economic history KW - Economics KW - Educational psychology KW - History of ideas KW - Psychology KW - Social forecasting KW - Psychological aspects KW - Uncertainty KW - Decision making N1 - decision-making for an unknowable future N2 - Uncertainty pervades the big decisions we all make in our lives. How much should we pay into our pensions each month? Should we take regular exercise? Expand the business? Change our strategy? Enter a trade agreement? Take an expensive holiday? We do not know what the future will hold. But we must make decisions anyway. So we crave certainties which cannot exist and invent knowledge we cannot have. But humans are successful because they have adapted to an environment that they understand only imperfectly. Throughout history we have developed a variety of ways of coping with the radical uncertainty that defines our lives. This incisive and eye-opening book draws on biography, history, mathematics, economics, and philosophy to highlight the most successful - and most short-sighted - methods of dealing with an unknowable future ER -