000 06518nam a2200337Ia 4500
001 3089
008 230305s2010 xx 000 0 und d
020 _a9780470414354
043 _aen_UK
041 _aeng
245 0 _aAnalysis of financial time series
250 _aThird edition
260 _a
_bJohn Wiley & Sons,
_c2010
300 _axxiii, 677 p.
505 _aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
_r1 Financial Time Series and Their Characteristics 1--
_r1.1 Asset Returns, 2--
_r1.2 Distributional Properties of Returns, 7--
_r1.3 Processes Considered, 22--
_r2 Linear Time Series Analysis and Its Applications 29--
_r2.1 Stationarity, 30--
_r2.2 Correlation and Autocorrelation Function, 30--
_r2.3 White Noise and Linear Time Series, 36--
_r2.4 Simple AR Models, 37--
_r2.5 Simple MA Models, 57--
_r2.6 Simple ARMA Models, 64--
_r2.7 Unit-Root Nonstationarity, 71--
_r2.8 Seasonal Models, 81--
_r2.9 Regression Models with Time Series Errors, 90--
_r2.10 Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation, 97--
_r2.11 Long-Memory Models, 101--
_r3 Conditional Heteroscedastic Models 109--
_r3.1 Characteristics of Volatility, 110--
_r3.2 Structure of a Model, 111--
_r3.3 Model Building, 113--
_r3.4 The ARCH Model, 115--
_r3.5 The GARCH Model, 131--
_r3.6 The Integrated GARCH Model, 140--
_r3.7 The GARCH-M Model, 142--
_r3.8 The Exponential GARCH Model, 143--
_r3.9 The Threshold GARCH Model, 149--
_r3.10 The CHARMA Model, 150--
_r3.11 Random Coefficient Autoregressive Models, 152--
_r3.12 Stochastic Volatility Model, 153--
_r3.13 Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility Model, 154--
_r3.14 Application, 155--
_r3.15 Alternative Approaches, 159--
_r3.16 Kurtosis of GARCH Models, 165--
_r4 Nonlinear Models and Their Applications 175--
_r4.1 Nonlinear Models, 177--
_r4.2 Nonlinearity Tests, 205--
_r4.3 Modeling, 214--
_r4.4 Forecasting, 215--
_r4.5 Application, 218--
_r5 High-Frequency Data Analysis and Market Microstructure 231--
_r5.1 Nonsynchronous Trading, 232--
_r5.2 Bid-Ask Spread, 235--
_r5.3 Empirical Characteristics of Transactions Data, 237--
_r5.4 Models for Price Changes, 244--
_r5.5 Duration Models, 253--
_r5.6 Nonlinear Duration Models, 264--
_r5.7 Bivariate Models for Price Change and Duration, 265--
_r5.8 Application, 270--
_r6 Continuous-Time Models and Their Applications 287--
_r6.1 Options, 288--
_r6.2 Some Continuous-Time Stochastic Processes, 288--
_r6.3 Ito's Lemma, 292--
_r6.4 Distributions of Stock Prices and Log Returns, 297--
_r6.5 Derivation of Black-Scholes Differential Equation, 298--
_r6.6 Black-Scholes Pricing Formulas, 300--
_r6.7 Extension of Ito's Lemma, 309--
_r6.8 Stochastic Integral, 310--
_r6.9 Jump Diffusion Models, 311--
_r6.10 Estimation of Continuous-Time Models, 318--
_r7 Extreme Values, Quantiles, and Value at Risk 325--
_r7.1 Value at Risk, 326--
_r7.2 RiskMetrics, 328--
_r7.3 Econometric Approach to VaR Calculation, 333--
_r7.4 Quantile Estimation, 338--
_r7.5 Extreme Value Theory, 342--
_r7.6 Extreme Value Approach to VaR, 353--
_r7.7 New Approach Based on the Extreme Value Theory, 359--
_r7.8 The Extremal Index, 377--
_r8 Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Its Applications 389--
_r8.1 Weak Stationarity and Cross-Correlation Matrices, 390--
_r8.2 Vector Autoregressive Models, 399--
_r8.3 Vector Moving-Average Models, 417--
_r8.4 Vector ARMA Models, 422--
_r8.5 Unit-Root Nonstationarity and Cointegration, 428--
_r8.6 Cointegrated VAR Models, 432--
_r8.7 Threshold Cointegration and Arbitrage, 442--
_r8.8 Pairs Trading, 446--
_r9 Principal Component Analysis and Factor Models 467--
_r9.1 A Factor Model, 468--
_r9.2 Macroeconometric Factor Models, 470--
_r9.3 Fundamental Factor Models, 476--
_r9.4 Principal Component Analysis, 483--
_r9.5 Statistical Factor Analysis, 489--
_r9.6 Asymptotic Principal Component Analysis, 498--
_r10 Multivariate Volatility Models and Their Applications 505--
_r10.1 Exponentially Weighted Estimate, 506--
_r10.2 Some Multivariate GARCH Models, 510--
_r10.3 Reparameterization, 516--
_r10.4 GARCH Models for Bivariate Returns, 521--
_r10.5 Higher Dimensional Volatility Models, 537--
_r10.6 Factor-Volatility Models, 543--
_r10.7 Application, 546--
_r10.8 Multivariate t Distribution, 548--
_r11 State-Space Models and Kalman Filter 557--
_r11.1 Local Trend Model, 558--
_r11.2 Linear State-Space Models, 576--
_r11.3 Model Transformation, 577--
_r11.4 Kalman Filter and Smoothing, 591--
_r11.5 Missing Values, 600--
_r11.6 Forecasting, 601--
_r11.7 Application, 602--
_r12 Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods with Applications 613--
_r12.1 Markov Chain Simulation, 614--
_r12.2 Gibbs Sampling, 615--
_r12.3 Bayesian Inference, 617--
_r12.4 Alternative Algorithms, 622--
_r12.5 Linear Regression with Time Series Errors, 624--
_r12.6 Missing Values and Outliers, 628--
_r12.7 Stochastic Volatility Models, 636--
_r12.8 New Approach to SV Estimation, 649--
_r12.9 Markov Switching Models, 660--
_r12.10 Forecasting, 666--
_r12.11 Other Applications, 669--
520 _aThis book provides a broad, mature, and systematic introduction to current financial econometric models and their applications to modeling and prediction of financial time series data. It utilizes real-world examples and real financial data throughout the book to apply the models and methods described. ; ; The author begins with basic characteristics of financial time series data before covering three main topics: ; Analysis and application of univariate financial time series ; The return series of multiple assets ; Bayesian inference in finance methods ; ; Key features of the new edition include additional coverage of modern day topics such as arbitrage, pair trading, realized volatility, and credit risk modeling; a smooth transition from S-Plus to R; and expanded empirical financial data sets. ; ; The overall objective of the book is to provide some knowledge of financial time series, introduce some statistical tools useful for analyzing these series and gain experience in financial applications of various econometric methods.
590 _bSupport material available on publisher's website.
650 _aTime-series analysis
_912977
650 _aEconometrics
_96309
650 _aRisk management
_96244
650 0 _aStatistics
_92152
700 _aTsay, Ruey S.
_eAutor
856 _uhttps://www.wiley.com/en-es/Analysis+of+Financial+Time+Series%2C+3rd+Edition-p-9781118017098
902 _a1558
905 _am
911 _ahttps://biblioteca.tbs-education.es/portadas/9780470414354.jpg
912 _a2010-01-01
942 _a1
953 _d2021-09-07 13:29:44
999 _c2945
_d2945