Radical uncertainty
Radical uncertainty
- The Bridge Street Press, 2021
- xxxiii, 526 pages ; 22 cm
decision-making for an unknowable future
Uncertainty pervades the big decisions we all make in our lives. How much should we pay into our pensions each month? Should we take regular exercise? Expand the business? Change our strategy? Enter a trade agreement? Take an expensive holiday? We do not know what the future will hold. But we must make decisions anyway. So we crave certainties which cannot exist and invent knowledge we cannot have. But humans are successful because they have adapted to an environment that they understand only imperfectly. Throughout history we have developed a variety of ways of coping with the radical uncertainty that defines our lives. This incisive and eye-opening book draws on biography, history, mathematics, economics, and philosophy to highlight the most successful - and most short-sighted - methods of dealing with an unknowable future
9780349143996
HB Economic Theory. Demography
Behavioural theory (Behaviourism)
Economic forecasting--United States
Economic history
Economics
Educational psychology
History of ideas
Psychology
Social forecasting
Economics--Psychological aspects
Uncertainty
Decision making
decision-making for an unknowable future
Uncertainty pervades the big decisions we all make in our lives. How much should we pay into our pensions each month? Should we take regular exercise? Expand the business? Change our strategy? Enter a trade agreement? Take an expensive holiday? We do not know what the future will hold. But we must make decisions anyway. So we crave certainties which cannot exist and invent knowledge we cannot have. But humans are successful because they have adapted to an environment that they understand only imperfectly. Throughout history we have developed a variety of ways of coping with the radical uncertainty that defines our lives. This incisive and eye-opening book draws on biography, history, mathematics, economics, and philosophy to highlight the most successful - and most short-sighted - methods of dealing with an unknowable future
9780349143996
HB Economic Theory. Demography
Behavioural theory (Behaviourism)
Economic forecasting--United States
Economic history
Economics
Educational psychology
History of ideas
Psychology
Social forecasting
Economics--Psychological aspects
Uncertainty
Decision making
